The
broadcast media in the UK, and particularly the BBC, can do an
excellent job at providing information in an accessible way. However,
the moment a subject gets politicised, this ability seems to
collapse. This is because the moment a subject becomes politicised,
the non-partisan media puts ‘balance’ above all else, which in
turn allows politics rather than reality to define what is understood
as true. I’ve called this the politicisation of truth, and have
identified four ways this happens:
-
Ignoring facts: ‘shape of the earth: views differ’ type reporting.
-
Ignoring expert pluralities: for uncertain outcomes, failing to mention that one side is a minority view. The economics of Brexit is an example.
-
Allowing politicians to create untruths. Labour profligacy caused austerity is an example.
-
Repeating politically generated untruths. For example 'the 364 economists were wrong'.
Here
is an interesting discussion of the first two of these in the context
of Brexit. From the discussion you can see that shifting existing
practice will not be easy, so in this post I want to be positive
rather than just complain.
Before
doing so, however, I want to say why this is so important. If the
broadcast media do not correct politicians when they lie, they
provide an incentive for them to lie. That will quickly become
apparent, so even if one side ‘starts it’, the other side will
follow. This creates an incentive to tell even bigger lies and so on.
In the short term the lies are believed and this distorts democracy,
and in the longer term trust in politicians deteriorates even
further.
We
saw this with Brexit, and we have seen this with Donald Trump.
Trump’s stream
of well documented lies are ‘balanced’ against seemingly baseless
or minor insinuations about Clinton. It is easy for people like those
who read this blog to think everyone knows that Trump is a serial
liar, but they do not. In fact:
“Trump has his largest edge of the campaign as the more honest and trustworthy of the two major candidates (50% say he is more honest and trustworthy vs. just 35% choosing Clinton)”
If you are reading
this in the UK and thinking this could only happen in the US, who
do you think was trusted
during the Brexit campaign?
There is no
one else who can inform the majority of people what the truth is.
There are countless media organisations, think tanks and websites
designed to present a partisan view. It takes both time and knowledge
for people to find sources that can be trusted, and that is time most
people will not spend. As Stephen Cushion and Justin Lewis note,
people actively want the broadcast media to separate facts from spin,
but this popular demand is being ignored because it is drowned out by
politicos shouting about bias. As they also note, this information
has to come in prime time viewing: doing it only in specialist
programming watched by those who are already well informed completely
misses the point.
The
obvious way to avoid facts being distorted is to correct them. As
Jeremy Shapiro says in his discussion above, this has to be done in
real time. It is just no good saying we corrected that on our fact
checking website a few days later, not only because of the delay
involved but also because hardly anyone looks at that website. So,
for example, in a debate between two sides, if one side says X and X
is not true, the moderator should say so. If in an interview the
interviewee says something untrue, the interviewer should say so,
even if they want to get on to another point.
This
of course immediately gets you into questions of how does the
interviewer know what is true and where do you draw the line. Here I
have some sympathy with journalists, who are sometimes expected to
have everything at their fingertips. What academics in particular
need to do is to ensure that this information is easily available
from trusted sources, and protest when that information is ignored.
I
think those in the physical sciences understand this. For example a few years ago
there was a period in which climate change was only discussed by
broadcast media in a politicised format, where typically a climate
scientist would debate the issue with someone from denial
organisations. But with almost all climate scientists agreeing about
the fundamental facts, this ‘balance’ gave a completely distorted
view of reality. As a result of concerted pressure from scientific
bodies (and with help from MPs), the BBC finally recognised this and issued revised
guidelines. (Here
and here
(pdf) is the BBC Trust review.) Their coverage of climate change may
still not be perfect (or more seriously may have simply diminished),
but at least the BBC recognised there were cases where evidence is
more important than balance.
Academic
economists as a collective are not so well organised, and we need to
become more so. This is not about improving individual economist’s
media skills, or getting certain people regularly invited on
discussion programmes. It is about having a trusted source that can present what
the balance of views of academic economists are, and what the key
facts and arguments are, and make sure this appears in the inbox of
all the media’s key journalists. It should make letters to
newspapers signed by a long list of academic economists a thing of
the past, because economists themselves would find out what the
plurality of opinion was and make that widely known. If Brexit does
not compel academic economists to organise in this way, nothing will.
Only in this way will we stop politicians defining the public's perception
of what is true and false in economics.